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Poll Shows Biden Losing Support Among Black Voters In Key States

James King, MPA
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President Joe Biden’s support among Black voters in the critical battleground states of Pennsylvania and Michigan has significantly declined, according to a recent USA Today/Suffolk University poll. The survey, conducted between June 9 and June 13, reveals a notable drop in Biden’s approval from Black voters compared to the 2020 elections.

In Pennsylvania, only 56.2% of Black voters indicate they would vote for Biden today, a decrease of 20 percentage points from those who say they supported him four years ago. Similarly, in Michigan, 54.4% of Black voters express support for Biden, down 22 percentage points from 2020.

This decline in support poses a significant challenge for Biden’s re-election campaign. David Paleologos, director of Suffolk’s Political Research Center, noted that while there is potential for Biden to win back some third-party voters, the president faces the difficult task of retaining a high level of support from 2020 while having limited room to increase it.

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The poll also shows a slight increase in support for former President Donald Trump among Black voters. In Pennsylvania, 10.8% of Black voters back Trump, up from about 8% in 2020. In Michigan, 15.2% support Trump, compared to 9% in the previous election. The data highlights a gender disparity, with 16% of Black men in Pennsylvania supporting Trump compared to 6% of Black women. In Michigan, 22% of Black men back Trump, versus 9% of Black women.

Third-party candidates also show notable support. In Pennsylvania, 16.4% of Black voters favor a third-party candidate: 7.6% support independent Cornel West, 7.4% back independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr., 1% support Green Party candidate Jill Stein, and 0.4% favor Libertarian Chase Oliver. Michigan’s results are similar, with Kennedy receiving 8% support, West 6.2%, Stein 1%, and Oliver 0.2%. Additionally, 13.8% of Black voters in both states remain undecided.

The poll included 500 Black voters in both Pennsylvania and Michigan and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points. These findings indicate a crucial shift in voter sentiment that could impact the upcoming election.

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