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Trump Leads Biden In Race Including RFK Jr., West

Graham Perdue
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A new poll reflecting the likely combatants in the 2024 presidential race revealed former President Donald Trump is out in front of his rivals.

According to results from the latest The Messenger/HarrisX survey, Trump enjoyed support from 38% of the voting public. Incumbent President Joe Biden harnessed 35% while independents Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West took 13% and 2%, respectively.

The poll found 12% of respondents were undecided.

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Without the two independents Trump also emerged victorious by a 45% to 41% margin over Biden. In the overall RealClearPolitics compilation that included the recent findings, Trump enjoyed a 0.7% advantage.

Polls are just now beginning to include Kennedy as an independent candidate. He opposed Biden as a Democrat before he shifted earlier this month to an independent bid for the White House.

Former President Trump was also out ahead in a two-way race with Biden in the latest Emerson College poll. The hypothetical matchup revealed the Republican enjoyed 47% support to Biden’s 45%.

That figure represented a two-point increase for Trump from last month. Undecided voters accounted for 8% of the total. 

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Emerson included a hypothetical question pitting Biden against retiring Sen. Mitt Romney (R-UT). The failed 2012 GOP candidate is a darling among leftists who want to see anyone but the immensely popular Trump on the Republican ticket.

Support for Romney was soft, however, especially among young voters. Biden bested the Republican 50% to 24%. 

The Emerson survey further showed Biden’s approval rate at 42% while 52% disapproved of his job performance. That negative rate was up 3% from September.

Trump’s lead over the incumbent is four points nationally in a CNBC All-America Economic Survey conducted last week. Another recent poll spotlighted seven key swing states for the major candidates.

Trump outperformed Biden in these pivotal states by four points in the Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll.

A key demographic responsible for Trump’s surge is young voters. Trump leads Biden 45.2% to 42.9% among voters 18-29 years old. His lead expands to a dramatic 11 points for 30-to-39-year-olds. 

A three-way race presented to likely voters by a Harvard-Harris survey last week showed Trump with 39% of national support to 33% for Biden and 19% for Kennedy.

Despite early Republican misgivings over Kennedy’s switch to running as an independent, it is clear that at least in this early stage Trump is the beneficiary.

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